Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 172.140338 200.210698 232.876480 274.060674 325.113748 387.008157 4.687870e+02
2025-06-22 127.719738 160.100804 201.737082 260.410864 343.006172 458.434426 6.382775e+02
2025-06-29 106.936238 140.866815 187.540595 258.680258 368.675061 540.366861 8.471074e+02
2025-07-06 93.259618 127.590562 177.348838 258.093085 393.015839 624.710922 1.093726e+03
2025-07-13 87.132028 123.548581 179.038157 274.804412 447.951736 776.849485 1.542353e+03
2025-07-20 82.985070 121.551970 183.084893 295.633957 515.352252 977.691711 2.228476e+03
2025-07-27 76.325316 114.538425 177.659351 298.401217 548.892912 1122.318504 2.891295e+03
2025-08-03 71.540394 109.857488 175.291436 306.056532 594.377280 1314.640777 3.880980e+03
2025-08-10 66.303415 103.733040 169.413657 305.534582 621.618826 1474.252991 4.948338e+03
2025-08-17 62.315790 99.278569 165.890706 309.027494 659.353571 1683.547200 6.527171e+03
2025-08-24 58.321317 94.363564 160.820120 308.195715 686.163332 1875.795121 8.380357e+03
2025-08-31 54.443487 89.264505 154.747845 304.014410 703.064248 2046.650723 1.050129e+04
2025-09-07 52.282536 87.447737 155.583699 317.604113 779.944242 2517.140190 1.651525e+04
2025-09-14 47.454108 80.178981 144.561626 301.045116 763.237953 2607.194405 1.980679e+04
2025-09-21 44.463151 76.140439 139.742857 298.957202 791.938984 2932.216780 2.785789e+04
2025-09-28 41.917728 72.713230 135.772915 298.249789 825.567999 3323.569772 4.073532e+04
2025-10-05 41.167559 72.762279 139.346431 318.414545 942.680621 4340.083683 8.486562e+04
2025-10-12 40.720978 73.367388 144.243310 343.643851 1094.858499 5890.805307 2.239268e+05
2025-10-19 38.912327 70.951686 141.818707 347.003347 1160.209653 6956.248364 4.690254e+05
2025-10-26 37.591208 69.442774 141.351295 356.306228 1258.744946 8592.693018 1.387459e+06
2025-11-02 35.845962 66.862066 137.960569 355.671517 1311.094769 9942.226930 4.151838e+06
2025-11-09 34.485193 65.007407 136.155963 359.920208 1392.396720 11964.524387 2.721911e+07
2025-11-16 32.981869 62.712772 132.976453 358.908201 1446.477967 13888.062745 6.255745e+08